Bitcoin FUD and negative social sentiment typically precede a bounce
Bitcoin FUD and negative social sentiment typically precede a bounce
Social media sentiment for Bitcoin has slumped to two year lows which is proficient for those wanting to go against the crowd.
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On-concatenation analytics provider Santiment asserts that Bitcoin and crypto assets tend to bounce when social sentiment indicates there is a lot of fear, uncertainty and doubt, which suggests that now is a ownership opportunity.
According to its Bitcoin weighted social sentiment confronting price chart, this is exactly what is currently going on. Since its weekend lows, Bitcoin prices take recovered around 2.four% to current levels.
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) September 21, 2022
It added that this is what has been happening since early September when markets plunged $60 billion in terms of total market place capitalization.
"This is exactly what nosotros've been seeing for #Bitcoin, #Ethereum, and many #altcoins post-obit the early on September"
The analytics provider added;
"Generally, the best buy opportunities in crypto come up when the boilerplate trader is downwardly, both psychologically and financially. This is what our metrics currently indicate,"
Post-obit the early September slump, when in that location was besides a lot of negative social sentiment, Bitcoin recovered around 12% to top out over $11k, and the same could happen again.
This latest plunge a couple of days agone has resulted in a much smaller drop off for Bitcoin prices with just 7.5% lost to its depression of $10,300.
Santiment added that Bitcoin'south weighted social sentiment on Twitter continues to hover around near two yr lows indicating that at that place are a lot of doubters in the price level, keeping back up at the mid-$10k zone. This would be good news for whales, the report added, which tend to go against the crowd.
There was a similar opportunity with Ethereum where sentiment is besides close to two-yr lows.
The metric is derived using a machine learning model on a large Twitter dataset containing over 1.6 1000000 tweets which are ranked as positive or negative.
The analytics provider besides referenced another metric called MVRV which is a ratio that calculates the average profit and loss of different holders to determine whether a coin is currently over or under bought. It indicates that more people are currently down which could exist a good entry bespeak as in that location is an average return of negative 3.v% for traders over the past 30 days.
Additionally, the Bitcoin Fear and Freed Index has now dropped into the fear zone at 43 which confirms the findings.
Trader and Blockroots co-founder, Cantering Clark, stated that the current situation could be shaping up as a bear trap and Bitcoin could be seeing relief in the near future;
"If yous ask me, that looks like an optimal way to ready up a trap for whatever systematic shorts that would get the green light at that betoken."
Bitcoin investor Lark Davis says that regardless of what crypto markets are doing, September is usually a bad month for stock markets and Bitcoin'due south correlation could lead to some rocky weeks ahead;
Historically the S&P 500 has done poorly in September, and quite badly in October of election years. #Bitcoin's loftier correlation to the equity markets could mean that we are in for some big bumps over the side by side six weeks. Skilful NEWS is that Nov is usually a strong month. pic.twitter.com/KYUwuVeYWj
— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) September 22, 2022
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $10,500, up 0.five% on the day but down ii.7% on the week.
Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-fud-and-negative-social-sentiment-typically-precede-a-bounce
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